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Writing a synthetic account of the history of
four states is quite the most terrifying thing I have ever done.
As soon as the manuscript is delivered, platoons of experts begin
to haunt one's dreams, accusing fingers extended; as soon as the
book emerges from the press, all one can spot are errors. I'm sure
Gunner Lind is being kind; if one errant umlaut and a mistake in
the terms of one peace treaty are all he has spotted, I am delighted.
Alas, I am aware there are more, which others will no doubt uncover
and I feel duty-bound to point out one howler that occurs right
in the middle of my main field of expertise, clearly provoked by
unwarranted complacency at proof-reading stage: the Treaty of Hadiach
with the rebel Ukrainian Cossacks was not rejected by the
Polish-Lithuanian Sejm in 1659, although it is true that it never
came into effect.
With regard to more serious matters, Dr Lind has
unerringly pointed to several important issues over which I agonised
before making up my mind. I am delighted he has done so, for they
give me an opportunity to explain why I wrote the book in the way
I did. Let me begin with Prussia. I admit that, in comparison with
the analyses of Denmark, Sweden, Poland-Lithuania and Russia, the
section on Prussia is sketchy; moreover, it repeats a well-worn
tale which others have told better. Nevertheless, while I could
not completely ignore Prussia, which did play an important role
in the Northern Wars, I examined it less comprehensively than the
other participants because I believe that while the Kingdom of Prussia
was undoubtedly one of the main beneficiaries of the Northern Wars,
it was not essentially 'forged in the fire of the Northern Wars'
as Dr Lind claims. Compared with the other powers, Brandenburg-Prussia
fought only sporadically: it played no significant military role
in the sixteenth-century wars; it was more an anxious observer than
a combatant in the Polish-Swedish wars of the 1620s, and although
it was a major participant in the Second Northern War between 1656
and 1660 and fought Sweden in 1676-9, it only entered the Great
Northern War after Poltava, in another demonstration of the remarkable
Hohenzollern talent - one not inherited by Kaiser Bill - for joining
the winning side in time to enjoy a share of the spoils. The Prussian
army was undoubtedly a useful instrument by 1700, but its development
was as much, if not more, determined by Brandenburg-Prussia's involvement
in the wars of western Europe in the age of Louis XIV, rather than
its participation in the Northern Wars. Finally, if the development
of the Swedish army was completed by Gustav Adolf and Charles XI,
and that of the Russia army by Peter I, it was not until the age
of Frederick II that the Prussian Military Revolution was complete.
Influenced by Peter Wilson's brilliant recent article in German
History volume 18 (2000) on social militarisation, I would argue
that while the Northern Wars incontestably played an important role,
it is better to see the rise of the Prussian army in the context
of general German military development after the 1635 Peace of Prague.
The emergent Prussian military state was heavily influenced by the
Northern Wars; it was not forged by them.
As Dr Lind rightly observes, questions of taxonomy
are distinctly problematic. I confess to long and painful deliberation
over the various conflicting traditions of nomenclature. In the
end, I felt that Klaus Zernack's modification of the Polish tradition
was the most convincing. I did not include the Swedish-Muscovite
war of 1554-7, since I believe that it was more of an isolated sideshow
than an integral part of the wars. Muscovy was still primarily committed
to the southern frontier, where Astrakhan did not fall until 1556,
and the Northern Wars were really begun by the unexpected collapse
of Livonian resistance to the Muscovite attacks in 1558-61 and Muscovy's
failure to secure its conquests. If Livonian resistance had been
stouter, I suspect that the war of 1554-7 would have remained a
brief curiosity demonstrating the difficulty of fighting along the
Finnish-Muscovite border. Nevertheless, if future historians more
expert than I wish to push the starting-date of the Northern Wars
back to 1554, I would not be too concerned.
I hope that I do not treat the Danish-Swedish
wars as a sideshow; I certainly did not regard them as such. There
are separate sections on the Nordic Seven Years War and the Scanian
War, and I accept fully Dr Lind's contention that the fighting was
on a scale that matched other fronts. If I did not deal at length
with the roots of the Danish-Swedish wars in the breakdown of the
Kalmar Union, this was because I was not primarily interested in
origins, but impact: there is a similarly sketchy account of the
background to the wars between Muscovy and Poland-Lithuania. Moreover,
it remains true that if the Danish-Swedish wars were certainly as
intense as those on other fronts, they were briefer: the Kalmar
War and Torstensson's War each lasted two years; Denmark's participation
in the Second Northern War was limited to three, and it was hustled
unceremoniously out of the Great Northern War almost before it began,
although, like Prussia, it joined the pack of states seeking to
dismember the Swedish Empire after Poltava, and this time managed
to last more than three years. The book was never intended to be
a narrative account of the wars - something which would have been
twice as long and would have bored most readers (and me) to death
- and I had to concentrate on the main conflicts. Thus, while I
certainly devote much space to the impact of war on Denmark-Norway,
I examine more fully the triangular conflicts between Sweden, Poland-Lithuania
and Muscovy which, I confess, I do believe lay at the heart of the
Northern Wars.
With regard to the backwardness thesis, I'm not
sure I say that there was no ignorance of western military
developments. I certainly argue that many Poles in particular were
well aware of the main features of western military development
- the Muscovites perhaps less so in the sixteenth century. My main
concern was to suggest that western methods did not necessarily
work in the east, and that the condescension of generations of western
military historians is unwarranted. I am happy to admit that not
all of my ideas would necessarily be shared by Polish military historians,
but I did try hard to avoid the impression that I was merely mounting
an apologia for Polish arrangements. I spend much time indicating
the problems of the Polish military system, and explaining why it
was unable ultimately to compete; if, on occasion, I overstate my
case, I felt it necessary to mount a strong argument, since the
prevailing consensus is so strong and there are enough dogmatic
statements in the general literature which are based on supposition
and sheer ignorance. Sometimes one has to shout to be heard. With
regard to individual points at which I may have pressed too hard,
I shall be delighted to justify my arguments.
In conclusion, I should thank Gunner Lind for
such a careful and thoughtful review. My main concern in writing
the book was to provide an accessible account; I was also determined
to keep it down to 150,000 words. Thus there was much that had -
reluctantly - to be cut out and I am steeling myself in particular
for broadsides from naval historians for my relative neglect of
the war at sea, but Jan Glete has recently covered such matters
with far more expertise than I can muster, and has had the good
grace to publish his findings in English. I hope that my book will
encourage study of aspects of the conflicts I was able to cover,
and I shall be quite happy if experts wish to test my hypotheses
and challenge my arguments: as Dr Lind points out, much of the available
literature is out of date. While I have a great deal of respect
for the nineteenth- and early-twentieth century historiography on
which, so often, I was forced to rely, many of these wars require
fundamental and far-reaching reconsideration. I hope that I have
demonstrated that they are important enough to warrant it.
May 2001
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